vol. 61, no. 4 (April), 1995, pp.
1234-36
The Economics of Friedrich Hayek
by G. R. Steele
New York: St. Martin's Press, 1993, pp. xiii, 262
In a review of Robert Skidelsky's John Maynard Keynes: Economist
as Savior, John Gray [2] asserted that Keynes was "the greatest economic
thinker of our age." Don Boudreaux [1] called this common assertion into
question, claiming that several others, including F. A. Hayek, are in contention
for that honor. Gray's untitled reply hinted that Hayek and the others
had too narrow a focus. The "increased specialization in economics since
Keynes's day" precluded would-be contenders from having a comparable "transforming
effect on economics as a discipline." It was Keynes, Gray reminds us, who
"set the intellectual agenda for economics in our time."
Pinning the superlative
on Keynes seems to require that we interpret "greatest" to mean "most influential�for
good or for bad." G. R. Steele would not dispute that Keynes�or Marx�was
"great" in the sense of "influential." But "great" in the sense of "markedly
superior in character or quality" does not describe Keynes's ideas or their
implied policies for managing the macroeconomy. In his preface, Steele
understates the judgment that those ideas and policies are markedly inferior:
"Keynes," he writes, "has much to answer for."
Steele is a latecomer to
Hayekian scholarship and is apparently unaware of G. P. O'Driscoll's book
[3], which has a similar theme. But his writing style is even, scholarly
and readable, and his positive restatement of Hayekian thought gives us
a well balanced survey of this alternative intellectual agenda. Citing
John Hicks, Steele recognizes that economics was at a crossroads in the
1930s and that the road signs bore the names of Keynes and Hayek. He endorses
Hayek's judgment that "the economist who is only an economist is likely
to become a nuisance if not a positive danger" (p. xiii) and then goes
on to show that the breadth and depth of Hayek's thinking are second to
none. If Keynes was our savior, it was Hayek from whom he saved us. Steele
gives us a refreshing glimpse of the economic understanding that might
have developed had Hayek saved us from Keynes.
The first half of the book
draws heavily from Hayek's Constitution of Liberty. In chapters
on "Liberty and Law" and "Liberty and the Market," Steele provides a contrast
between the elitist's conception of constructivist rationalism and the
classical liberal's understanding of a spontaneous order. Chapters on "Economic
and Social Science" and "The Socialist Calculation Debate" deal with contrasting
methodologies and their significance for understanding the case for decentralized
decisionmaking. Steele's chapter on "Neutral Money and Monetary Policy"
builds a bridge between the broad issues of the early chapters and the
more narrow issues of "Capital" and "Business Cycles." It is in these more
technical chapters on Hayekian macroeconomics that the reader may have
some difficulty in sorting out Hayek's ideas from the author's own.
Resurrecting a long-forgotten
argument from Hayek's Pure Theory of Capital, Steele discusses the
nature of the "yield from the use of capital" (pp. 146-47). He might have
noted that Hayek parts company here with several other prominent Austrian
writers, whose yield theories put heavy emphasis on time preferences as
opposed to capital productivity. Some, including Ludwig von Mises, Israel
Kirzner and Murray Rothbard, have argued that interest payments are to
be wholly attributed to time preferences; Hayek adopted a more eclectic
view. According to the obscure argument that Steele resurrects, it is the
"latent," or "non-economic" factors of production complementary to market-valued
factors that account for an investment's net yield. Land adjacent to a
yet-to-be-built waterwheel and millhouse is offered as an example. The
reader is entitled to wonder why the latent factors are undervalued. If
the argument is that speculative demand somehow systematically underestimates
the true value of their contribution to future production, then specifying
just how and just why would be the key part of a theory of profit and entrepreneurship
rather than a theory of net yield in the sense of interest. If, even in
the circumstances of fully enlightened entrepreneurship, there remains
a value differential between current factor inputs and the corresponding
(future) output, then the implied rate of interest or apparent capital
productivity is to be accounted for in terms of the systematic discounting,
which is taken by most Austrian writers to reflect the time preferences
of market participants. Finally, if these latent factors have no market
value either because of the lack of well defined property rights (or because
they are truly non-scarce), then we must ask why the prices of the market-valued
resources are not bid up to reflect the full value of the output. Again,
time discount rather than capital productivity of latent (or actuated)
resources seems to be the answer. Fortunately, a full appreciation of Hayek's
treatment of the economy's capital structure and of industrial fluctuations
does not require the acceptance of his latent-resource theory of capital's
yield.
Steele attempts to draw
insight from complexity by constructing mathematical expressions for input-output
relationships pertaining to time-consuming production processes. A critical
section entitled "The Dimensions of Capital" (pp. 149-54) deals with the
intertemporal input-output relationships that underlie Hayekian capital
theory. A definite integral whose limits are the beginning and end of the
production period relate the value of labor inputs and time to the value
of output. The value of continuous labor input, a, over the production
period, n', is treated as parametric. It is not clear whether Steele
believes that treating a factor value as a multiplicative constant adequately
captures Hayek's formulation or that such treatment is the unavoidable
cost of mathematical tractability. There is no objection here to the mathematization
per se or even to the use of "a" but rather to the lack of adequate
discussion of the merits and limitations of this formulation. Steele cites
Joan Robinson to the effect that "a value for capital can be obtained only
as the discounted sum of future earnings, which means that the aggregate
amount of capital is dependent upon those earnings" [p. 155; see also Hayek
as quoted on p. 154]. The reader may wonder if a similar statement does
not apply to the value of dated labor, which Steele has taken as parametric.
And if it does, then are we to jettison this mathematical formulation as
a misrepresentation of Hayek's ideas?
Still, Steele's definite
integrals have some merit as tools for expositing Hayek's pure theory of
capital: they recognize and give play to the notion that capital must be
measured in two dimensions (value and time) and that changes in market
conditions may have different effects on different components of the capital
structure. Further, the definite integrals and corresponding patterns of
output over time provide the basis for illustrating the dynamics of Hayek's
business cycle theory.
The book ends with chapters
on national and international monetary institutions and alternative monetary
standards and a final chapter on Hayek's legacy, in which Steele (p. 228)
draws from Norman Barry to explain why Hayek's ideas lost out to Keynes's:
"A doctrine that tells us more of the limitations on our ability to manage
social affairs than of the possibilities of controlling the course of social
and economic development is not likely to be popular in an age of scientism."
Roger W. Garrison
Auburn University
References
1. Donald J. Boudreaux, "The Graying of J. M. Keynes,"
National
Review, May 16, 1994, p. 2.
2. John Gray, "Are You Saved," National Review,
March 21, 1994, pp. 61-4.
3. Gerald P. O'Driscoll, Jr., Economics as a Coordination
Problem: The Contributions of Friedrich A. Hayek. Kansas City: Sheed
Andrews and McMeel, Inc., 1977.
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